Machine Nation Exit Poll - Lisbon Referendum

Kate P wrote:: What swung you, in the end, VictorM?

My family is almosts entirely No (and I had nothing to do with it!). Even my 6 year old nephew is quoting posters, telling us to vote no because saying yes to Lisbon is saying no to choice. Scary.

I was concerned about corp tax, but I don't think that is directly affected by Lisbon and the various tax and accountancy bodies and the like of Taxation Institute, Institute of Chartered Accountants, IBEC, IDA etc all called for a "YES". Beyond that I like the "streamlining" of how the EU operates. I'm a real Europhile (whilst not blind to it's faults) and want the EU to have it's own identity with respect to foreign policy. I'm sick of the US being the only "western" voice in the world. So really once my taxation issues were dealt with I swung firmly to "YES".

Looks close to me.

cactus flower wrote:: Looks close to me.

What are you "looking" at?

Are you looking at the poll here? Top of the thread...

It could be a close contest ! Currently 9-12

Auditor #9 wrote:: It could be a close contest ! Currently 9-12

Even closer, 11-12. This could yet be a statistical tie.

If the Yes votes are pulling level on the internet then they must be streaking ahead in reality!

Fourth Master: Growth Number of posts : 4226 Registration date : 2008-03-11

The yes are miles ahead on P.ie
http://www.politics.ie/viewtopic.php?f=172&t=36887

Well I did my duty but I was a bit disappointed at the complete lack of a sense of humour of the election officers.

I only said that if she could spare a half dozen of them voting forms, I happily take them off her and fill them in.

Only got the evil eye and one lousy ballot paper... Sad

So far this poll says more about who has been on MN today than anything. The outcome of 115 (?) voters on the poll that ran over the last week or so, was very different. Only 24 so far today and naturally a very different result on the lower figures. And now I am off to vote a resounding NO!

Boards poll running a while - No's well ahead
http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055308262

Straw poll - No's slightly ahead
http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055310420

Let's also start the reform of the 's here too!

EvotingMachine0197 wrote:: The yes are miles ahead on P.ie
http://www.politics.ie/viewtopic.php?f=172&t=36887

The No voters are making a comeback on p.ie.

I note p.ie are including those not voting in calculating percentages in their poll. Rolling Eyes

True democrats on politics.ie - allowing people to spoil their vote like that... I suppose it is meant to be a reflection of an actual exit poll...

Computers are meant to be used to exterminate human error though.

p.ie
yes 134
no 100

boards
yes 620
no 724

Auditor #9 wrote:: True democrats on politics.ie - allowing people to spoil their vote like that... I suppose it is meant to be a reflection of an actual exit poll...

Computers are meant to be used to exterminate human error though.

They have listed spoilt votes and people not voting at all separately. This means it won't represent an actual exit poll. If they listed spoilt votes only it would.

Fourth Master: Growth Number of posts : 4226 Registration date : 2008-03-11

Zhou_Enlai wrote:

Auditor #9 wrote:: True democrats on politics.ie - allowing people to spoil their vote like that... I suppose it is meant to be a reflection of an actual exit poll...

Computers are meant to be used to exterminate human error though.

They have listed spoilt votes and people not voting at all separately. This means it won't represent an actual exit poll. If they listed spoilt votes only it would.

Yeh, that should be 56.5% not 54% for Yes.

Auditor #9 wrote:: p.ie
yes 135
no 106

boards
yes 621
no 729

Boards has more working class people I'd say..

I voted Yes this afternoon about 4.30. Pretty quiet, Dublin Central. Who cares to read the runes?

It looks like you could have backed the right horse there WorldbyStorm although when a lot of people get off the building sites and get themselves into the polling booths ..

Some dude Tom Raftery on his blog is also conducting an Exit Poll - currently

55% Yes
45% No

94 votes

http://www.tomrafteryit.net/lisbon-treaty-exit-poll/

I don't back horses Auditor... but if I did... Smile

Nah, I think this is knife edge. I have absolutely no sense of what way it will go. It reminds me very much of 12 months ago, although then I actually had something tangible to lose depending on the result. This time there's a certain emotional detachment...which isn't to say I don't take it seriously, but it's a lot less fraught.

As you say, a lot depends on the next three and a half hours. Meant to ask, and apologies if it's already been answered here, is there an RTÉ exit poll expected at 10?

Well just exercised my democratic right. The mother asked me which way I was voting, and then said she'd vote the same way. I begged her to reconsider and actually read the booklet, but she refused.

Btw, I voted yes.

Yet another boards poll -

55% No
45% Yes

159 votes cast
http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055312508

ah riadach

Ah riadach what?

What am I supposed to do, tie her to the chair till polls close?

You know you could have introduced her to our wonderful study area here on the portal which is not biased at all oh no.. That Referendum Book was too difficult for people, God love us all if they had to read the full yoke