Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:17 am
Feck it yeah - you'd get farm work easy enough down there of course - no harm to make a man out of you and put hair on your chest. You'd get something similar in Canada - butchering trees or rounding up cattle on the Montana border with a helicopter.
But it's a Depression we're in and going deeper into and there's feck all to do but wait a little and mend your own clothes and relax and take it as easy as you can.
Because did you see the projected unemployment in the news at 6 ?? 117,000 expected to lose jobs over the period of a year. That's the biggest drop in this country - in 1985, the last big drop was 24,000 that year.
We are focked
(this year anyway)
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:36 am
Do they only expect 117,000?? If January's 36000 was multiplied by 12, ye'd get 432000
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:37 am
Sure there were 2,000 headline (big company) losses yesterday and I know of 500 which will occur next week. It is going to be bigger than 117,000.
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:49 am
expat girl wrote:
just to continue the great love affair we are having with the banks (on this site at least).... more meltdown in the UK, at least according to More 4 news.... 28 bn hole noir dans les accounts de HBOS, they are now wondering if the regulator (James Crosby?? since resigned, used to run HBOS, I think, had something to do with 'em anyway) was seriously out to lunch (or worse) when pushing the merger with Lloyds....destroy 2 banks for the price of one.
Meanwhile, todays Grauniad has a centerfold spread suggesting that the peculiar resistance of Lloyds when faced with nationalisation might have had SOMETHING to do with the fact that they were claiming tax relief from both the US and UK for the same stuff.... and there was an office (or should that be orifice??) in the Caymans as well..
Jaysis, do yis still think we've the worst banking sector in the universe?? There's really stiff competition out there....
This reminds me somehow of the Anglo Irish shenanigans with little stop gap loands of 4 billion or so being dropped in on the day that Government threatened to nationalise them.
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:52 am
johnfas
But that's a massive collapse in jobs - how much can the country take before we're all back out on the bog eeking out a living ?? Does anyone here ever remember people having to go to the bog?? Not that I care doing that kind of work but soon the government are going to be telling people to get off the dole, get off the internet and go out and dig a few holes up in Mayo or some tunnel through a mountain in Tipperary !?
Our economy is shrinking rapidly and soon the people who run the dole, the internet and churn out the food will also be unemployed and then we'll be truly fooked. We could feck to America in Currachs but you'd be put into Guantanamo Bay or a Fema Camp
Jesus what are we going to do ?
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:08 am
It is a massive collapsed in jobs. Difficult thing is for a large number of the lower paid jobs when they are gone, they will be gone. Ireland is not a cheap place in which to do business, when these companies disappear there is no evidence that they will be coming back. The idea of the knowledge economy is well and good but the history of the world will tell you there will always be a need for production line workers and the sort of job which requires little skill. Ireland (and indeed Europe) whilst still requiring such work, has priced itself out of it. Higher unemployment will be the result in the longterm.
I live in Dublin City Council... we don't have many bogs...
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:08 am
What is sick about all of this is there is masses of work that needs to be done. Need a bit of clever accounting, parallel currencies anyone?
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:54 am
Squire wrote:
What is sick about all of this is there is masses of work that needs to be done. Need a bit of clever accounting, parallel currencies anyone?
If you 're saying we could inflate our way somewhere but can't because we're lodged in the Euro currency then wouldn't you expect the UK and US to inflate their way out or try to ... unless it works better in some economies and not others.
It looks like we could be facing massive unemployment forever
It'll be good for the environment though
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:58 am
Elsewhere I have seen the problem with lots of work that needs to be done and no money in circulation. So was wondering if it is possible to have parallel currencies in a country? One is stable and the other you print and distribute which could have zero value outside the country.
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:00 am
A town in England started its own currency, I think? I'll Google it anyway and see did I remember that right....
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:01 am
Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:01 am
Isn't California printing IOUs for the Civil Servants who are left?
Glorified food stamps.
Interesting theory - do you know of instances of it yourself ? It might work you know - currencies like Turloughs which disappear in summer when the water dries up ...
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:03 am
Squire wrote:
Elsewhere I have seen the problem with lots of work that needs to be done and no money in circulation. So was wondering if it is possible to have parallel currencies in a country? One is stable and the other you print and distribute which could have zero value outside the country.
There are some very sophisticated barter systems running, in goods and services.
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:12 am
Won't you share your knowledge of them with us cactus?
Squire
what work do you see around that needs to be done from your point of view? I'd love if we plotted out cycle routes properly all around the beautiful backroads of Clare but I wouldn't know where to start - there'd be moaning from fcukers looking for compensation and handouts if you were to use a 5"sq, corner of their land for a signpost, the greedy swine. You'd be dead in two weeks for the moaning that would come out of them.
But what work do you see that needs doing anyway? I know there's always work - even on this website there's even work - there are 14 Ganley threads that need to be merged into One and similarly for the banks. We should end up with just two threads : The Ganley Thread and The Bank Thread and that would be that.
We'd have to leave the Sibin Reoite open as it's the only pub in the middle of the internet open on a Good Friday.
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:15 am
An element of bartering has always existed. I always remember my dad bringing home some odd things from people who didn't have the cash to pay fees.
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:20 am
Even when they were broke he took their personnel possessions. Your father is my new hero
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:32 am
johnfás
Thanks that link was interesting.
Audi,
Imagine the country becomes insolvent, you don't have hard currency to pay wages but you still need teachers etc and they need to buy food and pay bills. So what do you do? Not paying isn't an option, laying everyone off solves nothing. If they have no money then the farmer can't sell etc etc. Eventually you could end up with famine.
Money is simply an IOU so print some local currency and circulate.
Apart from that there will be lots of able bodied with no work and all those possible forests that we both like, elderly people to look after, youth groups to organise. There is lots that needs to be done. The beauty of the local currency is it will not suck in imports as it will have no outside value.
For many reasons I do not like the thoughts of legions of unemployed people sitting around doing nothing constructive.
Just a thought.
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:42 am
Squire wrote:
johnfás
Thanks that link was interesting.
Audi,
Imagine the country becomes insolvent, you don't have hard currency to pay wages but you still need teachers etc and they need to buy food and pay bills. So what do you do? Not paying isn't an option, laying everyone off solves nothing. If they have no money then the farmer can't sell etc etc. Eventually you could end up with famine.
Money is simply an IOU so print some local currency and circulate.
Apart from that there will be lots of able bodied with no work and all those possible forests that we both like, elderly people to look after, youth groups to organise. There is lots that needs to be done. The beauty of the local currency is it will not suck in imports as it will have no outside value.
For many reasons I do not like the thoughts of legions of unemployed people sitting around doing nothing constructive.
Just a thought.
Some stuff like teaching takes no or low resources to run I think. If a school was built have decently then the biggest resources after that is the teachers time of which we have many teachers, many of whom have lots of time. so I can see your plan coming together somewhat. It depends on consensus though doesn't it? Some exchange rules need to be worked out so that there is an exchange set of values so that your work has certain purchasing power ... it might be the case that for some people some work comes a lot easier
I'm going to end up saying something along the lines of "from each according to his ability to each according to his need" ..
Why are you afraid in the blue line above?
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:52 am
Two reasons, firstly it is a waste of talent and ability and secondly never wish for unrest as it is like war, once it starts it is hard to control and many innocent people can suffer. Look how the French Revolution turned out. Civil unrest can turn very nasty and once unleashed can be very hard to extinguish.
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 11:33 am
Squire wrote:
Two reasons, firstly it is a waste of talent and ability and secondly never wish for unrest as it is like war, once it starts it is hard to control and many innocent people can suffer. Look how the French Revolution turned out. Civil unrest can turn very nasty and once unleashed can be very hard to extinguish.
As you can see from the other thread on "noise", there's already some noise happening on the subject of rioting and there's no doubt about it you have a point about a tinderbox situation and a spark. The other day around here on this street a couple of cars were burned out which were owned by "non-nationals". I'm minding my own business at the moment but keeping an eye open all the same. Other "non-nationals" live quite close by.
Another youtuber - this guy says it's time for action but in a co-ordinated way. He says there is an opportunity in all this to escape the banking system that has enslaved America and to start living more sustainably and holistically in terms of Peak Oil and with respect for nature and more locally and potentially with systems of barter or local currency. I can't remember if he mentions anything about Law and Order though and maintaining it.
As our politicians keep saying, it's a global problem so perhaps there is a global solution. For one thing I feel - I don't want the bastards who got us into it to be involved in getting us out. Is it time to start thinking of the reconstruction of our society?
Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 11:29 pm
Audi
It is a disgrace that anyone should threaten non Nationals. It is not their fault and think how many Irish work abroad! If I knew the people responsible I would make my views known in no uncertain manner. You can't have that nonsense because you may find that in the morning they blame you, or Dubliners, or working women, or the elderly who are working, or Muslins, protestants, atheists, Quakers, whatever.
The bloke on U-tube has a point but what it would take is people organising alternatives. I wouldn't be too worried about the legality of parallel currencies, if enough people use it so will the politicians. The problem is getting it moving and achieving critical mass.
What puzzles me about the bank bail outs is how the money went in? IF they really did have to, why on earth did they not lend the money to individuals, clear their loans and by that means feed the money into the banks? Banks get money, toxic cleared up!
No what they are doing is bailing out the banks and letting everyone else roast. I don't know anyone outside Banking that is in anyway happy about this. The dismay crosses all socio economic groups. Ken Clarke has started to criticise the handling of the UK economy. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/politics/7890138.stm
Click on the links in the article. Small businesses are not able to get loans, even the very viable.
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sat Feb 14, 2009 11:47 pm
7 billion off people's debts ? Wouldn't that be a drop in the ocean? It's €1750 for every man woman and child here. Loads of people have credit card debts alone of €15k, not to mention car loans and before we start talking about mortgages at all. €1750 was the amount they probably spent on the Champagne which they ordered for their wedding/mortgage.
Was thinking that now that Ireland owns the banks can't we cut interest rates down to the minimum ? Unfortunately we can't control interest rates but there you go, if we could now would be the time to cut the interest on some of those mortgages down to zero.
I'd prefer to see the money being spent on proper infrastructure first - it's going to cost €500m MORE to put the electric interconnector cables under rather than over ground - I think this could be one of the most vital pieces of infrastructure that would serve us at the moment and we should maybe haggle with the contractors to build it underground for a lot less than that but it should be built. Perhaps the Northern Assembly could chip in to the cost via Westminster? It would be a part of the (nationalised) Eirgrid infrastructure that we are hoping to lift from the ESB anyway. It would be more than that it would part of a Europe-wide grid and significantly it would be part of the Peace Process on the island because whatever your colour or creed you'll burn electricity on a regular basis.
This is the cost that needs to fall and I believe it could/should be cut in half. We could be putting upto €1000 a year more into people's pockets plus businesses might be tempted to stay/set up if electricity was priced more competitively ...
Quote :
Problems in real economy dwarf those of bank sector
According to the latest figures from the International Monetary Fund and the Bank for International Settlements, total gross indebtedness of Irish residents, that is the State, the banks and the non-financial personal and corporate sector, stood at a gargantuan €1,671 billion at the end of 2008. This is over eight times national income, and compares to a mere €504 billion at the end of 2002 and €970 billion at the end of 2005. The greater part of the rise in this debt arises not from the State – its debt merely doubled from €27 billion in the fourth quarter of 2005 to €51.2 billion by the third quarter of 2008 (or €77.1 billion if the monetary authority liabilities are added) – but from the private sector.
The debt owed by the private sector rose from €876 billion to €1,594 billion over the period. Much of this represents real borrowings by Irish people and companies. As of September 2008, €591.2 billion in debt securities was outstanding by non-financial domestic companies – up from €473.6 billion in December 2006. Overall foreign claims on the Irish economy stood at a gargantuan seven times our national income. In absolute terms, this mountain of debt is one-sixth of the USA’s and greater than that owed by Japan.
I know people like this - don't you ? I've got about 40 quid on my own and it's in postive territory but I had one with a grand on it during the height of the boom. Never again baby.
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Subject: Re: The Great International Depression of 2008 & Beyond / Sun Feb 15, 2009 12:10 am
I'm 23... I don't know many people with that sort of debt, no. I know one lad with a debt of 28k from the bank but that is it. There is a huge difference between owing 28k to the bank and 28k on your credit card though. I pay off my credit card as I use it and I would happily give the damn thing up because it costs what, 40 quid a year or something to have it? I only have it because you can't use Laser everywhere.
Gotta feel sorry for people like the guy you linked to. I always wonder the point of this "PAYE Worker" nonsense as a decription though. Sure Seán Fitzpatrick was a PAYE worker. Anyone who isn't self employed is a PAYE worker.
Then again yer man is on 60k a year so you'd reckon he is fairly intelligent and wonder why he ran up such debt.
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