The Irish Times today has an analysis of the food crisis by Paul Cullen - I couldn't find it on their website, but found this interesting article on food and population with this alarming analogy:
http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/opinion/2008/0731/1217368676117.html Cullen talks about the energy dependency of food production , the increased demand from developing countries like India and China and the demand for biofuels / biomass. He concludes that higher prices are the permanent reversal of a long trend to cheaper food that took place in the 20th century.
He also points to the end of the CAP as leading to a situation where surpluses were no longer accumulated and managed to even out dips in food supply - shortage therefore means steep price increase. Food reserves are getting lower and lower.
The end of the CAP means a shift in the source of farmers incomes from general taxation to sales of food - this hits lower income people harder that higher income groups. Shortages are fuelling speculation, that in itself then pushes prices up.
He also says that efficiencies of mass production and distribution have flattened off and are not likely to continue. Supermarkets are therefore trying to squeeze the price at the farm gate - but with increased fuel costs to the farmer, farmers are saying it would be better to stop farming or plough the crop into the ground.
We need to be providing the opportunity for contraception to everyone who wants it, as well as developing sustainable agriculture and reducing waste.