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 Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA

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PostSubject: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 1:35 am

Whatever TV channel, radio station or website you'll be watching over next 12 hours, post or comment on any results here.



And like the Chicago Tribune in 1948, feel free to jump the gun...
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 1:59 am

I can see you at home there, EVM, impatiently tapping your fingers on the table and waiting for it all to get started, dammit. Smile
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 2:10 am

Kate P wrote:
I can see you at home there, EVM, impatiently tapping your fingers on the table and waiting for it all to get started, dammit. Smile

Exactly right. bounce

Dow Jones went up over 300 today. Biggest ever election day increase.
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 2:11 am

Only been open on election day for 8 elections mind you... prior to 1980 it was closed on election day.
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 2:12 am

Someone from somewhere called Norfolk is saying she has been queueing 7 hours to vote.
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 2:14 am

That's in Virginia.
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 2:16 am

The volatility index or VIX also responding to the probable win by Obama - this is the 'fear indicator' I just found out off Bloomberg and cnbc. An historic day ..

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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 2:17 am

I feel that Obama will win, he's after winning an exit poll with 72% of the vote and a few places in New Hampshire have already declared for Obama. He should get it.
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 2:19 am

No doubt he will AT. You certainly would not get good odds off Ivan Yates
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 2:20 am

Is it time to let her out again ?

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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 2:21 am

Those Electoral College business is weird though - they need 270 votes overall and whoever wins California gets 55 - even if there's a percent in it..
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 2:22 am

Auditor #9 wrote:
Those Electoral College business is weird though - they need 270 votes overall and whoever wins California gets 55 - even if there's a percent in it..

Or a tenth of it. All you need is the most votes in that state, it doesn't even need to be a majority.
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 2:23 am

The electoral college votes are allocated by a very simple equation - the number of Representatives + the number of Senators which the State has. In an indirect system this ensures a level of beneficial represenetation for smaller states in that every State has two senators no matter what its size is. Thus smaller states can in some cases be over represented. It is akin to the European Union where States such as Ireland have over representation in the Parliament when directly compared to larger States, eg Germany.
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 2:23 am

EvotingMachine0197 wrote:
No doubt he will AT. You certainly would not get good odds off Ivan Yates

No you wouldn't. I just can't see McCain pulling off a victory, even the Bradley effect will be overwhelmed by the huge vote which is turning out from especially the black community to vote for Obama.
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 2:43 am

Reports putting Obama 2 ahead in Indiana. If he takes Indiana it's all over.
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 2:44 am

EvotingMachine0197 wrote:
Reports putting Obama 2 ahead in Indiana. If he takes Indiana it's all over.

Definitely, that state has gone Republican for over 40 years.
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 3:02 am

FOX calling Kentucky for McCain, Vermont for Obama
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 3:03 am

There is a little map here that changes as the exit polls come in:
Vermont voted for Obama and Kentucky for McCain.

http://edition.cnn.com/
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 3:05 am

These guys got it wrong all night once before. I won't hold my breath.
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 3:06 am

Part of the problem with exit polls, I have heard, is that they have a much higher response rate from younger people. That is because you have students standing there carrying out the exit polls and the people most likely to be bothered going over and giving their opinions are people of a similar age. Also, polls done face to face are less likely to be accurate.
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 3:10 am

Democrats just gained a Senate Seat in Virginia. It is the first time, I think ever, but certainly in a long time, that Virginia has had 2 Democrat Senators. I guess that kind of result is a good sign for Obama.
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 3:18 am

65,000 people have gathered in Chicago to see Obama speak later. They are expecting possibly a million people to come.
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 3:22 am

Who is staying up all night?
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 3:26 am

Virginia, Flordia and Indiana looking like they might go to McCain. Looking very interesting.

Work tomorrow at 8am. Will probably sleep at 3am.
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PostSubject: Re: Breaking News: Obama is the 44th President Elect of the USA   Wed Nov 05, 2008 3:27 am

johnfás wrote:
Who is staying up all night?

Maybe until 2AM. Then I'll have to hit the hay.
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